Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007727 0.008682 0.009725 0.010951 0.012355 0.013918 0.015794
2025-02-02 0.006432 0.007784 0.009389 0.011449 0.014037 0.017204 0.021406
2025-02-09 0.005511 0.006996 0.008857 0.011387 0.014771 0.019192 0.025485
2025-02-16 0.004928 0.006500 0.008562 0.011501 0.015640 0.021354 0.029993
2025-02-23 0.004389 0.005976 0.008135 0.011336 0.016049 0.022867 0.033733
2025-03-02 0.004051 0.005677 0.007964 0.011482 0.016875 0.025032 0.038696
2025-03-09 0.003707 0.005326 0.007671 0.011397 0.017320 0.026640 0.042972
2025-03-16 0.003316 0.004865 0.007167 0.010924 0.017087 0.027123 0.045422
2025-03-23 0.003079 0.004614 0.006950 0.010870 0.017503 0.028690 0.049929
2025-03-30 0.002995 0.004586 0.007072 0.011366 0.018878 0.032032 0.058127
2025-04-06 0.002742 0.004271 0.006706 0.011008 0.018733 0.032664 0.061282
2025-04-13 0.002530 0.004002 0.006393 0.010708 0.018652 0.033389 0.064703
2025-04-20 0.002380 0.003833 0.006243 0.010699 0.019139 0.035314 0.071060
2025-04-27 0.002324 0.003818 0.006354 0.011175 0.020603 0.039358 0.082719
2025-05-04 0.002187 0.003652 0.006187 0.011116 0.021015 0.041327 0.090114
2025-05-11 0.002089 0.003545 0.006115 0.011226 0.021774 0.044117 0.099943
2025-05-18 0.001962 0.003377 0.005916 0.011066 0.021950 0.045661 0.107016
2025-05-25 0.001886 0.003295 0.005871 0.011208 0.022780 0.048773 0.118683
2025-06-01 0.001788 0.003166 0.005724 0.011125 0.023109 0.050774 0.127821
2025-06-08 0.001653 0.002957 0.005409 0.010665 0.022542 0.050568 0.130851
2025-06-15 0.001576 0.002853 0.005291 0.010612 0.022898 0.052664 0.140876
2025-06-22 0.001562 0.002871 0.005417 0.011095 0.024566 0.058298 0.162657
2025-06-29 0.001462 0.002714 0.005176 0.010747 0.024196 0.058602 0.168084